Posts Tagged: options contracts


2
Feb 10

Trading Indicators for Newmont Mining

The basic Trading Indicators for Newmont Mining (NYSE: NEM) are giving signals of a downturn in the stock price. Then, of course, there are fundamental reasons for gold and gold mining stocks to be languishing for a bit at this time due to the recent strength of the US Dollar.

NEM_MACD

We are looking at the NEM chart with the plot for the 10-day and the 50-day moving averages. We see that around middle of December 2009, the 10-day moving average went down and crossed the 50-day moving day average on the way down. That typically is a bearish signal for traders and tells us that the stock price is headed down in the near term.

These are small duration moving averages that we are using. So, typically we wait for the indicators to show proof that it will continue with the trend which NEM has in this case. So, our near-term outlook on NEM is that it will stay under $45 for a few weeks at the least.

Accordingly, we are buying the NEM March 2010 $45 put option contracts to make some gains. Our buy-in price is at a premium of $245 per contract and we hope to reap some rewards soon on this trade.

This is our second trade in NEM. Readers may remember that we made some good gains in NEM put options last October. Lets hope this trade is a profitable one as well.

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14
Jan 10

Trading Contracts in Apple again

aapl call option contractsWe are trading call option contracts in Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) again. Yes, we know there are those that are saying AAPL is overvalued. Yes, we know there are those that say AAPL has gone up too much too fast. But we are skeptical of these experts. We think Apple is still very much a compelling story and cannot be ignored.

First of all, if one looks at AAPL from March 2009, then yes, it has gone up dramatically (over 100%). But if one looks at the recent bull run over the last several weeks, it has been the Financials that have made the run. Apple stock price has languished. We are looking at three catalysts here:

1.   The impending announcement around the tablet PC. This is a well discussed event, but we feel Apple still has the ability to surprise at this event.

2.  Earnings are coming up and we are again betting for upside to the same and an immediate pop in the stock price.

3.  The rumor mills around the change in their accounting system and policy which in turn is expected to lower their P/E ratio. The accounting folks are still working their pencils on this one but we expect them to come to some consensus soon. And when that happens we expect it to be positive for the stock price.

Accordingly we are buying the AAPL April 2010 $250 call option contracts at a premium of $280 per contract. This is a far out of the money contract. But we have time on our hand. And time will tell.

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